Wednesday, February 08, 2012

USD higher, EU rescue plan fails to reduce contagion fear

Tuesday, May 11th, 2010

USD higher, EU rescue plan fails to reduce contagion fear

FX Highlights

  • USD is trading higher as equity markets decline in reaction to concern the EU/IMF bailout plan will not contain the Greek contagion risk and in reaction to report of  accelerating inflation in China, Greece is expected to ask for aid today, EUR trades lower pressured by speculation that despite the Greek bailout plan EU budget deficits are likely to widen and the EU economy likely to slow,  the Greek crisis  will force the ECB to maintain accommodative monetary policy, GBP trades lower pressured by UK political uncertainty and in reaction to mixed UK economic data, UK retail sales fall, house prices rise and industrial production jumps, CHF steady supported by report that Swiss consumer confidence posts strong gains, commodity currencies trade lower pressured by weaker equity markets and concern that accelerating inflation in China will encourage China to tighten monetary policy, the Shanghai stock index closed 1.9% lower, JPY trades higher supported by safe haven demand sparked by weaker equities and skepticism about the Greek rescue plan
  • Focus turns to today’s release US wholesale sales and inventories
  • China’s inflation rate rose at the fastest pace in 18 months to 2.8%
  • The IMF says that the Greek debt is sustainable but there are significant risks, Moody’s says it may still downgrade Portugal  and Greece’s debt rating, ECB adds liquidity, EUR lower
  • Japan’s Finance Minister Kan says Japan is considering a cap on spending to limit JGB bond issuance, Japan’s JGB bond issuance is expected at Â¥44.3trln, Japan’s PM says that comment on limiting  bond issuance is not official government policy, JPY higher
  • Swiss Q2 consumer sentiment index  improved to 14 from -7 in Q1,CHF  higher
  • Brown stands down as Britain’s PM, he will resign by September, a Labor/Liberal Democratic coalition government may be forming in the UK, April BRC retail sales fall 2.3%, April RICS house price balance +17 compared to +9 in March, March manufacturing output rose by 2.3%,GBP lower
  • US equity markets set to open lower, European equities 2% lower, Nikkei closed 120 points lower

Upcoming Events

  • US-Tuesday, March wholesales sales and inventories will be released expected at 0.5% and 1.1% respectively  
  • CAN-Tuesday, no major Canadian data is due for release today

Written by Easy-Forex

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